L&T, treading dangerous waters!? 
Saturday, January 24, 2009, 10:46 PM
Posted by Administrator


It seems that the rumour mills have been busy churning out mails pointing to more companies susceptible to management frauds. These mails include some real big names too! At first I gave them a hard thought, then, I felt the best thing would be raise the bar when it comes to selecting stock investments in terms of "management teams". "Once smitten, twice shy! "

Now why would a leading infrastructure construction company like L&T buy stake in Satyam?!! A question which definitely needs answers to understand the investment idea behind this move by L&T. L&T has a software arm called L&T infotech with a sales base of over 1500 Cr. This makes a good case for investment in a software company. On the face of it I was inclined to think that this software subsidiary will be mainly catering to the in-house needs of L&T for its infrastructure projects. But a closer look at statements reveals that the bulk of the business come from the BFSI segment (banking and financial services) at 32% as on FY08. The existence of the software subsidiary justifies the move of the management to acquire Satyam, but the management has definitely treaded dangerous waters risking investigation in its multiple deals for purchase of Satyam equity in open market and a possible roadblock in further crystallizing the whole investment into a more meaningful business venture. I would infer that yes, the move to acquire a software biz was perhaps justified, but why Satyam? This definitely raises some concerns. The current recession could very well have presented more opportunities to L&T for an investment to expand its software biz.
Anyway, we shareholders are as always left to the whims and fancies of the board!!

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On your toes!! retail investor! 
Tuesday, January 13, 2009, 12:25 AM
Posted by Administrator


More than Satyam management, what shocked me was that Price Waterhouse Coopers were their auditors who are also party to this shocking affair. I keep the auditors of any company as a very important yardstick in determining the quality of the team who is running the business. Some corporates who share my shock are some PWC clients like Colgate, Cummins, Maruti, Glaxo-SmithKline, Marico, etc. I hope there will be some reactions from these corporates to their auditors with regard to their Satyam affair.

As far as we retail investors are concerned is that we should renew our resolve to stick to companies with a good track record. Also be “wary” of sudden spurt in profitability and changes in accounting policies, etc. The annual report is our best friend.

Though Satyam's senior leadership say it is committed to the company, headhunters say they are determined to make offers that would be hard to refuse. Rival IT firms have begun using head hunters to track and approach senior Satyam executives. But what about those 50000 employees which form the mid and lower segment of the management? This could well be a grueling time for them with uncertainty in the career front. Spending will see a big check once again from the IT employees.

As of me, I will just wait and watch. Thank god I do not hold Satyam, although I came periliously close to buying Satyam shares in the past. But mutual funds I hold do have a good chunk of Satyam shares. Another episode which makes further strengthens my idea of handling my portfolio by myself and not give my money to money managers.


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Back into the bear grip? 
Thursday, December 25, 2008, 12:43 AM
Posted by Administrator


Markets are back into the bearish mood! Is it just a correction or a fresh bout of selling? The rally in the previous week saw a lot of activity in the mid and small cap space. Looks like some operators are in for some fun again before taking off for their holiday! I am looking at Subex closely (as I have already "sinned" by buying into it at higher levels). I really do believe it is a case of a well managed company undergoing a difficult phase after their take-overs and acquisitions. At the face of it, looks like the management has erred by having taken such a decision. But this company does actually have a good track record to boast of, especially in terms of shareholder's wealth- creation. I think I will stand by this management during these tough times. Only let us hope, it has learnt its lesson well so as not to repeat such mistakes (not that the management believes so!) again.
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